Bitcoin’s 4-year cycle isn’t dead, expect a 70% drop next downturn: VC

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The lack of understanding about Bitcoin’s economic properties will result in a market dump at the first sign of trouble, Vineet Budki said.

The price of Bitcoin (BTC) will continue to experience cyclical booms and busts, resulting in a drawdown of up to 70% during the next market downturn, according to Vineet Budki, CEO of venture firm Sigma Capital.

There will be a BTC retracement of 65% to 70% in the next two years because traders do not understand the asset they are holding, Budki told Cointelegraph at the Global Blockchain Congress 2025 in Dubai, UAE. He said:

Despite this, Budki still forecasts that Bitcoin will reach $1 million or more per coin within the next 10 years and stated that user adoption will grow from a combination of price speculation and, more importantly, real-world BTC use cases. 

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