45% Odds US Military Will Strike Iran Before July—Markets on High Alert

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As of June 17, 2025, at 8 a.m. Eastern time, Israel and Iran remain locked in their fifth straight day of direct military exchange, with both nations continuing missile strikes and air raids. A Polymarket prediction places a 45% probability that the U.S. military will intervene against Iran before July. Prediction Markets Gauge Israel–Iran Showdown, […]

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